The Report of China Steel Market

Demand for the release of the steel market is slowly picking up, the rate of increase is slowing steel inventories, which led directly to the spot price of construction steel to become stable after crash. According to the latest market report provided by the relevant agencies, the China steel  industry has been the basic pattern of demand and upstream costs squeezed at both ends, there is no change, and some steel mills have recently stepped up the intensity of the overhaul and cut.

According to the monitoring, Shanghai construction steel prices stabilized stabilized. Currently, the two rebar on behalf of Shanghai Zhipin specifications tons price of around 3,640 yuan, week, up 10 yuan; Shanghai quality product the three rebar offer in 3670 yuan per ton, up 10 yuan a week. Steel futures market, according to market participants reflect once quickly soared, led to the outbreak of the spot steel city needs some steel trading business even exaggerated, "limited" operation. But soon the trend of steel back to the shock trend, the spot steel ShangXi the procurement initiative also significantly affected.

Previously, some steel parts dealer tense relationship with the steel mills, attracted the attention of the industry. Current point of view, the new changes in vendor relationships, pricing decisions of the steel mills have a certain impact, steel mills considered more cautious. Anshan Iron and Steel Company has recently introduced a plate prices in April, the ex-factory price of the mainstream varieties such as hot-rolled-steel, cold-rolled-steel and steel coil 100-300 yuan per ton dropped significantly, could mean sheet manufacturers raised prices since last December cycle has been completed. Building steel mills latest pricing, although the direction is not exactly the same, but the "stability" putting the word is a common choice.

Fluctuations in the trend of rising last week, the price of the domestic construction steel market is around the higher prices, some cities rose to one hundred yuan, pull up too fast and then fall, but Wednesday, Thursday, rebar futures prices, electronic high lineprice is continuously rising prices rebound again. Last week over the price of the overall slight rebound, the overall turnover was acceptable in parts of the stock began to digest the signs, and played a supporting role in the price rebound. With the weather warming, the demand continues to pick up, the overall market turnover of the situation will continue to improve in most parts of construction steel inventory next week will be open to the inventory process.

From the last week the overall trend in the steel market, construction steel, hot-rolled coil, galvanized steel coil, plate and other varieties of part of the area offer finished lower. According to the China Iron and Steel spot network statistics show that, as of March 22, the 10 major cities in two Φ25mm rebar price was 3,686 yuan, up 16 yuan over the same period the previous week, 10 major cities Φ6.5mm high line an average price of 3,656 yuan, up 22 yuan over the same period the previous week. 10 major cities 5.5mm hot-rolled coil average price of 3,941 yuan, more than the same period last week $ 44 up. 10 major cities 1.0mm cold rolled coils average price of 4,884 yuan, down 7 yuan than the same period last week, down 78 yuan over the same period last month.

China Steel Prices Trends Analytics

According to the latest market report, in March, more than half of the release of the downstream demand is still "slow" trend of the ups and downs of China steel prices, will directly affect the the spot steel city merchant mentality.In the past week, the major varieties of steel spot prices generally fall varieties weekly decline in more than 1%, which showed a larger hot-rolled steel.

According to the analysis, in the steel sheet market, the price decline has deepened.According to the review of the professionals in the market, the current round of steel price decline continued to the present, the domestic plate prices have fallen for 15 trading days from late February. Baosteel Plate April ex-factory price increase, but the price movements in the spot market are not with the formation of a "synchronization" effect, pessimism spread. This is mainly due to the downstream demand the release of poor, the complexity of the mentality of buyers, the rising steel trading business under constant pressure, shipped arbitrage willingness. Hot rolled coil decline is even more evident, Shanghai, Hangzhou, Jinan price weekly decline in the 100-190 yuan. Upside down and spot market prices due to higher pricing of some of the leading steel mills factory, serious, even if the margin constraint, a loss of serious traders or no choice but to give up to continue the implementation of the procurement plan.

Steel raw material prices also fell overall. According to related reports provided by the relevant agencies, the continued strength of the iron ore market, and finally transferred to the accelerated downside track. Ore in the domestic market in Hebei iron concentrate prices continue to fall, a weekly decline, t price of $ 20, the steel mills purchasing more cautious maintain low inventory strategies, thinly traded market. Imported ore prices fell sharply, 63.5% grade Indian iron ore fines Quote $ 134.5 per ton, down $ 13.75 a week; Platts 62% grade iron ore index of $ 133.75 per ton, down $ 13.25 a week. The Mine City market outlook is expected or downward trend, most of the buyers have fewer choices procurement.

Many factors affecting the iron ore spot market. Bureau of Statistics data show that the first two months of China's average daily crude steel output was 2.1263 million tons, the highest of the highest level for the same period in history, a high level of crude steel production, a huge inventory of steel oversupply further exacerbate the contradictions for more pessimistic steel prices, coupled with the introduction of the property market regulation and control of the five countries ", again stir around the real estate market, and in turn have a negative impact on the steel industry. Beijing International Mining Exchange believes that the downstream industry the continued bearish conduction to the spot price of iron ore, triggered last week's rapid decline. Short term, this downward trend will continue.

Overall, the volatility of the steel market in China is still getting bigger, and now is the national series of policies and implementation of a critical period in the mechanism of state regulation, the China Iron and Steel must carry out reforms in order in the world steel occupy a more favorable market low. Whether it is a large demand for hot-rolled steel and cold-rolled steel, the demand for middle-level galvanized steel, aluminized steel, as well as a triangular steel, etc., and their prices will in a reasonable price range.

Hot Rolled Steel From China

Recent data shows, State five rules promulgated led to relatively large fluctuations in the steel market, traders depressed mood, the market purchases enthusiasm weakened, closing the atmosphere is poor. Construction steel sheet products have appeared slipped sensitive hot rolled steel price decline.

Generally speaking, Domestic major cities Ф25mm three rebar average price of 3849 yuan (t price, the same below), compared to 4 or 6 yuan; the domestic key cities Ф6.5mm high line an average price of 3,718 yuan, compared with $ 4 or 4; domestic prioritiescity ​​5.5mm average price of hot rolled coil is 4013 yuan, down 37 yuan over the 4th; 1.0mm cold plate of the domestic focus of the central city average price of 4,939 yuan, compared with the 4th down 6 million; the domestic key cities 20mm plate average price3953 yuan, compared with 4 or $ 18.

China's GDP growth target this year as well as the increase in CPI of view, stable growth, control inflation is a main tone, means in the context of the loose global liquidity, China's policy-oriented under the premise of stable growth to prevent inflation rise will not sacrifice everything in order to maintain growth. Then for the steel market, in in financial effect amplification push up the price of rising channel, but also consider the needs of the Chinese entity performance, pull the power in the market is affected by the cost factor in the case of rapid increase in inventory, demand starts slow, weak people in the short term, steel prices has yet to reverse the signs of elevation. But the demands of the market holding stability has been strengthened, the steel city today is expected to gradually stabilize.

Factors affecting the domestic construction steel market, mainly the following aspects:

One is the leading steel mills steady mainly. The domestic steel prices shocks down, not many steel mills to adjust to the ex-factory price. Hebei Iron and Steel, Shougang Changzhi guide price of early March raised by 100 yuan / ton, while the East China Shagang rebar prices flat in early March, the whole month of February making it up 100 yuan / ton. Overall, domestic steel prices and market prices generally upside down, but at the cost pressure of circumstances, steel mills offer more to maintain strong price making it up are more limited.

The second is the majority of the raw material prices down. According to the monitoring data show that as of March 1, the Tangshan area carbon billet price of 3250 yuan / ton, down from Friday 50 yuan / ton; Jiangsu Province scrap price of 2900 yuan / ton, unchanged from Friday; Shanxi coke price 1470 yuan / ton, unchanged from Friday; taste dry Tangshan area, 66% iron ore price of 1170 yuan / ton, down from Friday 20 yuan / ton. At the same time, the external disk offer grade 63.5% Indian iron ore fines of $ 152.75 / ton 2.75 U.S. dollars / ton, down from Friday.

Third postganglionic steel stocks continue Masukura. According to the monitoring data show that as of March 1, the major varieties of steel inventory total of 21,583,600 tons, weekly chain Masukura 6.78% inventory increase has slowed compared to the previous two weeks, the downstream demand this week must start signs. Now, the total social stock has the same caliber of year-on-year increase in more than 1 million tons, and has hit a record high level of general annual inventory and more experience Masukura 4-6 weeks and then transferred to the downstream channel, so late The destocking task is arduous.

Of course, China policies will make some affect on China steel market, especially, steel prices will be affected. And according to internal prices of steel, the China steel prices will have a proper level.

The situation of China cold rolled steel in March 2013

In February, in China, the market price of cold rolled coil to the rising main. February 28, China's major cities 1.0mm cold plate an average price of 4952 yuan (t), up 111 yuan from the end of January. Shanghai, Tianjin, Beijing 1.0mm Omo box board market price of 4860 yuan, 5050 yuan and 5100 yuan, or 170 yuan, 100 yuan and 100 yuan. The other second-tier market price or 60-170 yuan.

Cold rolled steel prices rise, there are mainly two reasons; the one hand, a further rise in steel prices cost more sturdy supporting role. Businesses hoard, on the other hand, a very few, limited resources, market liquidity, resulting in fewer cold-rolled steel products, but prices continue to grow. For Spring Festival is expected to once again good psychological fermentation postganglionic the inertial pull up the role, the pace of rising market prices before and after the Spring Festival has never stopped.

Specifically, the following prices up in February, the domestic large steel mills in the mainstream again blew the horn rose. Especially early in the New Year's Baosteel will surprise the first to raise the price policy in March after the holiday, other steel mills raised prices well ahead of preheating. Indeed, after the Chinese New Year, Shougang, Angang Steel new one price policy have to implement, the March cold rolled rises in 200-250 yuan. The Hebei steel of cold rolled steel producers will also follow the trend of price increases policy, the latter part of the cost of supporting a further consolidated. Just has not been started due to the the postganglionic downstream demand, the price after a space up Xuzhang power tends to weak businesses mainly changed to a stable and a wait-and-see, expected real market revitalization in about 3 months late.

On the other hand, during the Spring Festival market resources around the part arrival, but the arrival of relatively limited, only a few cities in the bulk arrival. Moreover, some steel mills busy exports, a decrease in the amount of domestic resources. However, businesses hoard goods, stocking seek and secure the relatively rare a large number Dongchu operations. Therefore, after the Spring Festival, the market resources is small there is a growing, but still at a low overall inventory. The salable few resources, support a certain price. But if the latter continue to add resources, demand start slow price "late spring" may only adjustment will be more limited. Late start gradually, demand and steel prices are expected to return to a rising channel.

According to the previous experience, each year, in March and April, is the the downstream demand gradually start of period. With the weather warming, the downstream procurement will gradually start to recover, and then one after another active this year, the pace of urbanization is a "policy year" downstream producers overall than last year's strong vitality, is a good cold rolled steel market. The overall market is expected to occur in March and April, a "peak", downstream needs to start in early March or significantly slow the true sense of the market recovery is a process, not small adjustments to exclude individual time period.