7/25/2013

Chinese Steel Prices


Recently, the National Bureau of Statistics released the first half of the main indicators of economic data show that the first quarter GDP growth of 7.7% in the second quarter GDP growth of 7.5% in the first half growth rate of 7.6%. After the data release, triggering a stock market sharply higher, China steel prices have been rising trend, thus boosting the steel market activity. Construction steel, hot-rolled coil, cold rolled coil, plate and other steel prices rise.



June economic data has basically been out over, from a series of economic data, is still dominated by weak economic data is a period of time to the response of China's economic trends, weakening the data directly demonstrate China's economic growth is still slowing, while the downstream industry if it continues to weaken, then the demand for steel will also be difficult to release January-June of fixed asset investment continued to decline, with the lowest growth rate unchanged in 10 years, which indicates that China's economy has been facing greater pressure , and 7-8 months, the steel industry or always return season.

1-6 months of new projects with the previous month, thus, showing little change in the downstream industry this month, mainly with local remained "no stimulus" policies, although on June whether manufacturing or automotive industries, data have come down, but the outdoor new projects to maintain balance, which for the steel city, it has been regarded as a positive. However, the total investment of decline, it may affect the progress of these projects, the demand for steel has certain constraints.

For the steel industry, in June economic data remains weak, whether fixed asset investment, or GDP or export data, the trend has continued to decline, facing downstream industry downturn, it seems that China's steel industry is too optimistic. Because the latest data show that in June China's crude steel output of 64.66 million tons, an increase of 4.6%; monthly average daily crude steel production was 2.155 million tons, a decline of 0.3%, the fourth consecutive monthly decline, but still historically high. January-June total crude steel production was 389.87 million tons, an increase of 7.4% in the first half average daily crude steel production was 2.154 million tons, this level estimates annual crude steel production is expected to reach 786 million tons. Regardless of how the downstream industry, China's steel production will have a higher than normal interest, which is still weak economic data is concerned, it is not optimistic.



In general, the Chinese Steel prices can be easily affected by demotic policy, according to the latest date shows, China steel prices will get some rising in the next month. Like Galvanized steel, steel coil, angle iron, steel pipe, seamless pipe, etc, certainly, for square tube, because of the demand of market is bigger, its requirement is much bigger. 

7/04/2013

Compare trends of Thailand Steel with China Steel


Via the current state of China steel, it can show, over the past 2-3 years, compared with the world market, Thailand's steel industry seems to render the situation contrarian growth, mainly due to domestic factors gained support, such as private and public construction projects to increase growth and Apartment Property. In addition, the use of steel as the main raw material industry good momentum of growth also provided some support, such as automobiles and parts industry.



First half of 2013, including domestic consumption and export growth, including the Thai steel industry situation is good, in the first four months of data show that steel consumption reached 6.53 million tons, an increase of 22.6% over the same period in 2012, growth accelerated to 9.0% , mainly due to the beginning of this year due to automobile manufacturing steel consumption increased significantly over last year and growing fast. Steel exports but also to achieve growth in 2013 January-April exports of steel and steel products valued at 81.496 billion baht, an increase of 3.4% from the same period last year accelerated to 61.9%.

For the second half of this year, domestic steel demand is mainly gained increasing support construction projects, especially in low-rise and high-rise residential real estate construction and government infrastructure projects. At the same time, pulling power from the car industry or weaken over the first half, the first car under the scheme due to non-delivery of the new car has been delivered to be completed. Dragged down by the automotive industry factors, steel consumption is likely to decline in the second half of this year, because in 2012 the first car in the second half of the automotive industry plan to stimulate the formation of high base effect. However, the research center is expected in 2013 KAITAI annual steel consumption in Thailand up to 1724-1786 tons, an increase of 3.75% -7.50%, compared with 12.2% in 2012, growth slowed.

In Thailand exports of steel and steel products, rest of the year from Australia to Thailand to cancel anti-dumping measures for steel products to get additional support, coupled with development projects in ASEAN countries, especially the construction of infrastructure increases, will lead Thailand to the above two an increase in the market value of steel exports. As the overall trading partner of Thailand's construction industry is in a growth phase, Kai Tai Research Center, believes the situation is Thailand's exports of iron and steel products to increase the value of the opportunity, the annual export value is expected to reach 2,505-2,660 billion baht, an increase of referrals at 13% -20%, although slower than last year's 43.6 percent, but still high growth.



There are some special steel products which have different prices between Thailand and China, however, as usual, like galvanized steel, galvalume steel, steel pipe, steel sections, square tube, rectangular tube, circular tube, etc, has a little more proper prices, therefore, you can choose them according to your requirement.