Recently, the National Bureau of Statistics
released the first half of the main indicators of economic data show that the
first quarter GDP growth of 7.7% in the second quarter GDP growth of 7.5% in
the first half growth rate of 7.6%. After the data release, triggering a stock
market sharply higher, China steel prices have been rising
trend, thus boosting the steel market activity. Construction steel, hot-rolled
coil, cold rolled coil, plate and other steel prices rise.
June economic data has basically been out
over, from a series of economic data, is still dominated by weak economic data
is a period of time to the response of China's economic trends, weakening the
data directly demonstrate China's economic growth is still slowing, while the
downstream industry if it continues to weaken, then the demand for steel will
also be difficult to release January-June of fixed asset investment continued
to decline, with the lowest growth rate unchanged in 10 years, which indicates
that China's economy has been facing greater pressure , and 7-8 months, the
steel industry or always return season.
1-6 months of new projects with the
previous month, thus, showing little change in the downstream industry this
month, mainly with local remained "no stimulus" policies, although on
June whether manufacturing or automotive industries, data have come down, but
the outdoor new projects to maintain balance, which for the steel city, it has
been regarded as a positive. However, the total investment of decline, it may
affect the progress of these projects, the demand for steel has certain
constraints.
For the steel industry, in June economic
data remains weak, whether fixed asset investment, or GDP or export data, the
trend has continued to decline, facing downstream industry downturn, it seems
that China's steel industry is too optimistic. Because the latest data show
that in June China's crude steel output of 64.66 million tons, an increase of
4.6%; monthly average daily crude steel production was 2.155 million tons, a
decline of 0.3%, the fourth consecutive monthly decline, but still historically
high. January-June total crude steel production was 389.87 million tons, an
increase of 7.4% in the first half average daily crude steel production was
2.154 million tons, this level estimates annual crude steel production is
expected to reach 786 million tons. Regardless of how the downstream industry,
China's steel production will have a higher than normal interest, which is
still weak economic data is concerned, it is not optimistic.
In general, the Chinese Steel prices can be
easily affected by demotic policy, according to the latest date shows, China
steel prices will get some rising in the next month. Like Galvanized steel,
steel coil, angle iron, steel pipe, seamless
pipe, etc, certainly, for square tube, because of the demand of market is bigger, its
requirement is much bigger.